Walker and Evers tied, Baldwin still leads

In the final Marquette Law School Poll of the 2018 election, incumbent Republican Scott Walker and Democrat challenger Tony Evers are tied at 47 percent support among likely voters, while U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin has an 11-point lead, 54-43 percent, over challenger Leah Vukmir.

In the race for Wisconsin attorney general, Republican incumbent Brad Schimel is the choice of 47 percent and Democrat Josh Kaul receives 45 percent support from likely voters.

Likely voters are defined as those who say they are certain to vote in the Nov. 6 election.

The poll was conducted Oct. 24–28, 2018. The sample included 1,400 registered voters in Wisconsin interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. For likely voters, the sample size is 1,154 and the margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.

In the most recent Marquette Law School Poll, conducted Oct. 3-7, Walker was supported by 47 percent, Evers by 46 percent among likely voters; Baldwin was supported by 53 percent and Vukmir by 43 percent; Schimel held 47 percent and Kaul 43 percent of likely voters.

"This [governor’s] race could clearly tip either direction based on our data," pollster Charles Franklin said in releasing the results.