Marquette Law School Poll: Walker regains lead among likely voters

According to the latest Marquette University Law School Poll, Gov. Scott Walker leads Democratic challenger Mary Burke 50% to 43% among likely voters, with 3% undecided. Among registered voters, the race remains tight, with Walker leading Burke 46% to 45%.

The poll, released Oct. 29, is the Marquette Law School’s final look at the governor’s race prior to the Nov. 4 election.

Among likely voters, women support Burke 49% to 43%, while Walker holds a 58% to 36% advantage among men.

The previous Marquette poll, which was released on Oct. 15, showed Walker and Burke tied among likely voters at 47%. “Shifting turnout intentions have provided most of the dynamics of the race this fall,” said Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll, in a release.

Meanwhile, in the race for attorney general, the poll found that Republican candidate Brad Schimel is supported by 43% of likely voters, compared to 39% for Democrat Susan Happ, while 14% of respondents still claim to be undecided. Among registered voters, the AG candidates are tied, each receiving 40% support, with 16% of respondents saying they still need to choose a candidate.

The poll of 1,409 registered voters was conducted between Oct. 23 and 26 on both landline and cell phones and has a margin of error of +/-2.7%. The margin of error is +/- 3% among likely voters.

Clearly, turnout will be key. In the latest survey, 93% of Republicans said they are certain to vote, compared to 82% of Democrats and 75% of independents.