Marquette Law poll: Likely voters prefer Walker over Burke, 50%-45%

Gov. Scott Walker has opened up a five-point lead over challenger Mary Burke among likely voters in the latest Marquette University Law School poll, but the two gubernatorial candidates remain tied among registered voters.

Among likely voters, Walker leads Burke 50% to 45%, the first time he has polled at 50% or more in several months. In the most recent poll, released on Sept. 17, Walker had a three-point lead, 49% to 46%, among likely voters. Likely voters are those who tell pollsters they are certain to vote in the Nov. 4 election.

Meanwhile, Walker leads Burke slightly among registered voters, 46% to 45%. They were tied among registered voters in the Sept. 17 poll, 46% to 46%.

The latest survey, released Oct. 1, is the first state poll since allegations of plagiarism surfaced against Burke. The former Trek Bicycle executive has been accused of taking parts of her jobs plan from fellow Democrats in other states, and she fired a campaign staffer who wrote the plan using policy prescriptions from his own past writings.

Burke’s campaign has fired back with a new television ad noting that Wisconsin lost 4,300 jobs in the August state jobs report. The numbers, based on a small sample of Wisconsin businesses, are preliminary and subject to revision, but they challenge Walker’s claim that the state is on the right path economically.

Also in the Oct. 1 poll, Republican attorney general candidate Brad Schimel has a two-point lead, 41% to 39%, over his Democrat opponent, Jefferson County District Attorney Susan Happ.