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Financial Perspectives

with Michael Dubis, CFP

03/25/13

Financial planning for the dogs

I suppose many people want to read about Cyprus, the sequester, debt limits, and other events that seem very important for a moment or two. There are plenty of people writing about those issues today. I’ll take a break from the commentary and give some advice that can save you a lot of money and provide you a much better life experience.

Posted at 10:41 AM | Permalink | Comments: 2

01/28/13

Potential themes for 2013

I prefer to work with what we know and course-correct when life happens, but there seems some logic behind the following potential themes for 2013. (Disclaimer: I’m not good at making predictions; the reality is that no one successfully predicts anything on a consistent basis, let alone is able to then profit from it. Most folks who are perceived as smart are often just lucky or have said the same thing for five, 10, or 20 years and were finally able to be right. As they say, “being early is the same as being wrong.” Feel free to agree or disagree and opine intelligently why.)

Posted at 12:27 PM | Permalink | Comments: 1

12/17/12

No perspectives, just a father’s reaction to tragedy and healing

I was trying to meet my monthly commitment to IBMadison.com, but what I was writing was just so relatively unimportant right now that I couldn’t focus on it. This national tragedy in Connecticut is shocking and awful. This is one of the worst things I’ve witnessed or could ever imagine. So I write to hopefully share in the healing with you.

Posted at 10:47 AM | Permalink | Comments: 1

11/27/12

Powerball investment looking better

We view investments on a risk-adjusted-for-return basis. The Powerball jackpot is likely going to exceed $500 million this Wednesday. The odds of winning are 175 million-to-1, with an approximately 60% to 70% chance that a winner will be selected. That suggests to me that it might finally be worth the risk to invest $2 for a potential $500 million return.

Posted at 02:32 PM | Permalink | Comments

11/19/12

The election and the markets

The election is finally over. The Obama win was predicted for some time and doesn’t come as a surprise to me. Intratrade, the stock market, and Nate Silver (The New York Times) all predicted an Obama win. If you want to save yourself some valuable time in the future, those three sources have the highest prediction reliability for national elections. The first two have money on them, while Nate Silver has one of the best statistical methodologies out there.

Posted at 08:24 AM | Permalink | Comments: 2

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About This Blog

It is an understatement to say the world has experienced a radical shift in capital markets. There are more layers of information and opinions on the direction of the world than we've seen in decades. The internet and the media do not always make it easier, but Michael Dubis' contribution through IB blogs will help you sift through the noise and give you some perspective. You can find his company online.

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