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Financial Perspectives

with Michael Dubis, CFP

November 2012

Powerball investment looking better

11/27/12

Powerball investment looking better

We view investments on a risk-adjusted-for-return basis. The Powerball jackpot is likely going to exceed $500 million this Wednesday. The odds of winning are 175 million-to-1, with an approximately 60% to 70% chance that a winner will be selected. That suggests to me that it might finally be worth the risk to invest $2 for a potential $500 million return.

Posted at 02:32 PM | Permalink | Comments

The election and the markets

11/19/12

The election and the markets

The election is finally over. The Obama win was predicted for some time and doesn’t come as a surprise to me. Intratrade, the stock market, and Nate Silver (The New York Times) all predicted an Obama win. If you want to save yourself some valuable time in the future, those three sources have the highest prediction reliability for national elections. The first two have money on them, while Nate Silver has one of the best statistical methodologies out there.

Posted at 08:24 AM | Permalink | Comments: 2

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About This Blog

It is an understatement to say the world has experienced a radical shift in capital markets. There are more layers of information and opinions on the direction of the world than we've seen in decades. The internet and the media do not always make it easier, but Michael Dubis' contribution through IB blogs will help you sift through the noise and give you some perspective. You can find his company online.

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